The player is given 120 seconds to move around a space with three platforms. By jumping into the platform the user will gain money if the arrow on top of the platform is green or lose money if it is red.

The green platform follows a regular cycle of +4/ -4. The blue platform almost always has a green arrow, but the player will win at a low rate. The red platform is the most risky: it will make the player to gain and lose money more quickly.

By tracking player success and course through the game, the team were able to build an AI that could guess a player’s final score at intervals.

Initial Game designed for data input:

http://augur.etc.cmu.edu/midas/WebPlayer.html

Game modified to predict the outcome of the player at 60 seconds and at 90 seconds

http://augur.etc.cmu.edu/midas2/WebPlayer.html

The predictive algorithm is a linear regression computed using Microsoft Excel Data Analysis Add-in, based on data captured via Mechanical Turk on 1075 games.